Cracks have emerged in Donald Trump’s hold on his core constituency of white working class voters, new data from the 2018 election reveal. Though Republican candidates almost everywhere registered large margins among white voters without a college degree, Democrats ran much more competitively among the roughly half of that group […] Read more »
Unique web-panel shows how Rising American Electorate really delivered in 2018
Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women decided early to oppose what was happening in the country, but some decided in the Fall and as late as the final week to vote and […] Read more »
Behind G.O.P. Power Play in Midwest: Fear of Losing a Gerrymandered Advantage
… The ongoing legislative maneuvers in Michigan and Wisconsin are part of a broader war for power in the Midwest, a politically prized region for both parties — but especially for Republicans, who are trying to dilute Democratic control ahead of bigger battles. The G.O.P., which lost the House in […] Read more »
‘Tariff man’ Trump has shifted Republicans toward a pro-trade stance
This week President Donald Trump’s tough talk on trade made news and roiled markets, but the political impacts are harder to characterize. A close look at the issue shows Trump’s role as “a tariff man” follows two of the main rules that have come to define his presidency: it is […] Read more »
‘Siege warfare’: Republican anxiety spikes as Trump faces growing legal and political perils
A growing number of Republicans fear that a battery of new revelations in the far-reaching Russia investigation has dramatically heightened the legal and political danger to Donald Trump’s presidency — and threatens to consume the rest of the party, as well. … The White House is adopting what one official […] Read more »
Can 2018’s extreme weather persuade skeptics that the climate is changing?
… Many scientists have been working to determine when strange weather can be attributed to climate change. I have focused my research on examining Americans’ understanding of how strange weather and climate change are related. Here’s what I’ve found: Political orientation determines attitudes toward both climate change and extreme weather […] Read more »