One of the early choices every 2020 Democratic presidential contender will face is how to react the first time the audience at a campaign event breaks into the chant “Lock him up.” That day likely isn’t far away now that prosecutors from the Southern District of New York, in Donald […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Negative outlook dominates views of Congress, government
A month after a blue wave swept Democrats to control of the US House of Representatives, Americans are mostly pessimistic about the way the government will work over the next few years, and few see progress in the cards on a number of top issues, according to a new CNN […] Read more »
Older Voters Have Favored the G.O.P. Can Democrats Pry Some Away?
Senior power is the sleeping giant of American politics. … Older Americans’ collective voting clout has usually been fragmented by more salient variables of race, religion, ideology-party, class, gender or family status. But that is changing: Age and race have begun to coalesce in a manner that should alarm Democrats. […] Read more »
Democrats Favor More Moderate Party; GOP, More Conservative
Given a choice, 54% of rank-and-file Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would prefer that their party move closer to the center, and 41% would rather it shift further left. At the same time, rank-and-file Republicans and Republican-leaning independents favor a shift to the right for their party, as 57% say they […] Read more »
California Dominates Among House Democrats. What Does That Mean For The Next Congress?
… Nearly 20 percent of the incoming Democratic caucus will hail from California, and using data primarily from Gary Jacobson’s data set on House elections from 1946 to 2014, I found that no state has ever been responsible for a larger percentage of the majority party’s House caucus during the […] Read more »
Introducing The Cook Political Report’s 2020 House Ratings
The 116th Congress hasn’t even been sworn in yet, and there’s still no resolution in sight to one North Carolina race tainted by election fraud. But already, the 2020 battle for the House is shaping up to be highly competitive. The race for the White House is set to overshadow […] Read more »