President Trump’s near-simultaneous decisions this week to force a government shutdown over his demand to fund a border wall and withdraw American troops from Syria and Afghanistan have imperiled the fragile Republican coalition, exacerbating the party’s fears about what may become of his presidency — and its own electoral prospects […] Read more »
Why Fights Over Immigration Keep Shutting Down The Government
We’re facing the third government shutdown in less than a year this Friday thanks, in part, to a fight over immigration policy. President Trump wants $5 billion for a border wall — an amount that is unlikely to make it through the Senate. Back in January, a disagreement over the […] Read more »
Who will Americans blame if the government shuts down?
With hours to go before a potential federal government shutdown Friday night over funding to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, both President Trump and Democrats are blaming one another for the gridlock. … So who are Americans likely to blame for the shutdown? It’s impossible to be sure […] Read more »
2020 GOP Win Happens If Never Trumpers Step Aside
The results of our latest national survey of 1,000 likely 2020 presidential year voters, conducted between Dec. 10-14, show that even with all the media bias and attacks on the president, really not much has changed since our postelection poll of 1,000 people voting on Nov. 6 of this year. […] Read more »
GOP Insists It Doesn’t Engage In Identity Politics. Researchers Disagree
Donald Trump has had success at using identity politics. Ohio’s Mahoning Valley is a place where a conservative version of identity politics — tied to race and class — is flourishing. CONT. Asma Khalid, NPR News Read more »
Moderation in the Pursuit of Reelection May Not Help
In my book, The Great Alignment: Race, Party Transformation and the Rise of Donald Trump, I argue that the United States has entered a new era of electoral competition in the 21st century. The most important characteristics of 21st century elections are partisan polarization and nationalized elections, and the results […] Read more »