… It’s difficult to overstate how rapidly the politics of the area has evolved. The results from the last few elections tell the story. In 2012, Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won Cobb County by 12 percentage points and won Georgia by 8 points. In 2016, the county swung Democratic […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders-Style Politics Are Defining 2020 Race, Unnerving Moderates
The sharp left turn in the Democratic Party and the rise of progressive presidential candidates are unnerving moderate Democrats who increasingly fear that the party could fritter away its chances of beating President Trump in 2020 by careening over a liberal cliff. … The sprint toward populism amounts to a […] Read more »
Yes, the Republican Party has changed since 2016. You think the Democratic Party hasn’t?
The transformation of the Republican Party under President Trump is a well-told story. Less noted, but no less significant, is the change in the Democratic Party during the same period. Heading into 2020, neither party is what it was when Donald Trump ran against Hillary Clinton in 2016. The changes […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s not so secret weapon: Barack Obama
… Biden has been the polling frontrunner throughout the early stages of the 2020 Democratic primary. Yet, as I’ve noted before, there are many reasons to believe his advantage won’t hold. … The problem for Biden is obvious: the Democratic electorate is moving to the left. Whether you examine Gallup […] Read more »
Motivated Reasoning, Public Opinion, and Presidential Approval
The relationship between the economy and presidential approval is one of the largest and deepest literatures in political science. Scholars have debated between objective and subjective economic indicators, retrospective and prospective evaluations, and what factors moderate the relationship between the two, but their symbiosis has rarely been in doubt. The […] Read more »
Get Over Yourselves, Democrats, and Debate on Fox
The Democratic National Committee’s decision to bar Fox News from hosting a 2020 Democratic presidential primary debate will undoubtedly, and understandably, prove to be a popular decision with the party’s core, primarily coastal base. But it’s also very shortsighted and could hurt the party and its candidates. CONT. Liz Mair […] Read more »