To put it mildly, former vice president Joe Biden hasn’t had a great week. Multiple women have come forward saying that he was uncomfortably handsy with them on the campaign trail. … So what, other than the assumption that Biden could win back some white, working-class Obama-to-Trump voters, is keeping […] Read more »
Why do white evangelicals still staunchly support Donald Trump?
A recent Pew Research poll found that 69 percent of white evangelicals approve of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president of the United States. This number is slightly lower than previous polls, some of which had white evangelical support for Trump as high as 78 percent. We […] Read more »
Why black voters are so important for Democrats in 2020
… Black voters make up about 20% of all Democratic voters, according to 2016 primary exit polls and 2018 data from the Pew Research Center. To put that in perspective, about the same percentage of Democrats identified themselves as “very liberal” in the average 2016 primary with an exit poll […] Read more »
Wisconsin, Ground Zero for 2020 Politics, Looks Like a Tossup Again
… For Democrats, an intense effort to rebuild their Midwestern “blue wall” for 2020 is showing gains in Michigan and Pennsylvania, both of which President Trump captured in 2016. On Tuesday, Democrats flipped a key Pennsylvania State Senate seat that Republicans had long held outside Pittsburgh. But in Wisconsin, the […] Read more »
Democrats should stop chasing Trump’s base. They have their own white working-class voters.
… Oversimplifications aren’t merely errors: They can lead to party strategists and campaign officials making bad calculations about how to win over demographic groups, with serious consequences for election outcomes. And Republicans and Democrats alike shouldn’t forget that there are plenty of non-college-educated white Democrats — and that keeping them […] Read more »
‘Why Aren’t Democrats Winning the Hispanic Vote 80-20 or 90-10?’
The future success of the Democratic Party depends on the crucial — but unsettled — allegiance of the nation’s growing Hispanic electorate. … In the 2018 midterms, Democrats showed gains among Hispanic voters in most states, compared with 2014. Party operatives are concerned, however, about the slow rate of growth […] Read more »