In a live taping of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast in Austin, Texas, the crew debates whether Texas will be a battleground state in 2020. Special guest Ashley Lopez, senior politics reporter at KUT, joins in the debate. The team also faces off with the audience in a round of political […] Read more »
Biden, unions and the politics of 2020
Shortly after former Vice President Joe Biden announced his candidacy for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, he received his first union endorsement. “I couldn’t be more proud to have the International Association of Fire Fighters on my team,” Biden tweeted in response. “Unions built the middle class in this country […] Read more »
Red counties are doing better under Trump — but not as well as blue cities
Large, mostly Democratic-leaning, metropolitan centers are consolidating their dominance of the national economy even as smaller, mostly Republican-leaning communities at their periphery show clear signs of economic revival under President Donald Trump, according to an extensive new analysis of regional economic dynamics published Tuesday. These twin trends — consolidation at […] Read more »
What do Latinos really think about Trump?
Given the growth in the Latino electorate, which is expected to surpass African Americans as the second largest group of voters in 2020, many polling organizations now report out subgroup results for “Hispanics.” They shouldn’t. Their sample sizes of Latino voters are woefully small, typically 80-150 in size, and their […] Read more »
Majority of Democrats want candidate who will unite the country, CBS News poll analysis finds
Amid a crowded field of 2020 presidential candidates vying to be the Democratic nominee, CBS News surveyed Democrats nationwide to gauge what characteristics are important to them in a Democratic candidate. Most Democratic voters have a desire for someone who is hopeful about the future of the county and will […] Read more »
Biden Thinks Trump Is the Problem, Not All Republicans. Other Democrats Disagree.
As Joseph R. Biden Jr. made his way across Iowa on his first trip as a 2020 presidential candidate, the former vice president repeatedly returned to one term — aberration — when he referred to the Trump presidency. “Limit it to four years,” Mr. Biden pleaded with a ballroom crowd […] Read more »