In the weeks following the public release of the Mueller Report, one thing is clear: a majority (56%) believe the report revealed President Trump engaged in wrongdoing, while only 21% believe he was totally exonerated (another 23% don’t know). Even among Republicans, of whom 86% approve of the president’s job […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Age Divide Is Defining the 2020 Primary
When the progressive tag team of Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez skirmished with Joe Biden this week over climate policy, the altercation pointed toward the former vice president’s most glaring vulnerability in the 2020 Democratic presidential race—while simultaneously underscoring the imperative for him to defend his greatest asset. […] Read more »
Polling Responses Provide Vivid Illustration of Divergent Opinions on Trump
In this era of political tribalism, with so many people living in partisan and ideological silos—living, working, and socializing with like-minded people—it tends to not just reinforce thinking, but also to disconnect us from others with different backgrounds and points of view. This past week’s NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll […] Read more »
The Nones Aren’t As Politically Diverse As You Would Think
… Clearly, evangelicals have a large influence on the Republican party. At least three quarters of white evangelicals voted for Donald Trump. It’s incredibly hard to find another group that is so wed to a particular political party. (The only exception I can find is that black Protestants are ~90% […] Read more »
Trump’s Staunch GOP Supporters Have Roots in the Tea Party
A decade after the tea party emerged as a political force, its former supporters are some of Donald Trump’s most stalwart Republican supporters, according to a new analysis of Pew Research Center panel surveys from 2014 through 2018. CONT. Pew Read more »
What can we learn from the North Carolina redo election?
By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts. But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political environment and how it’s changed since November. Instead […] Read more »