I’ve been hearing a new conversation in coffee shops and happy hours around the country. One friend makes their prediction of who will win in November 2020, and the other nods in agreement. But then the voices become hushed as the second person asks, “But do you really think the […] Read more »
Forecasting the House: Projections based on the presidential popular vote
This post is going to complete the series forecasting who will control of the House in 2020 based on the national environment, which is best measured by the presidential popular vote. CONT. Seth Moskowitz, Every Second Year Read more »
Voters go ‘center-left’ on issues, but not on candidates
When it comes to issues and issue agendas, there is good news and bad news for Democrats in 2020 in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. On the good news side of the ledger, there some key issues where voters seem supportive of left-leaning ideas and approaches. The bad […] Read more »
NBC/WSJ poll: A record share of voters dislike Trump personally, but Democrats face challenges of their own
As Democratic candidates compete for the opportunity to take on President Donald Trump, the incumbent they hope to oust is more personally disliked than any of his recent predecessors, and half of voters say they’re very uncomfortable with the idea of his re-election. But the electorate at large also expresses […] Read more »
The 99 House Districts That Will Determine Dems’ Fate
There’s a lot on the line in 2020, but 99 seats now held by House Democrats will likely determine who occupies the White House, sits in the Senate Majority Leader’s office, and holds the gavel in the House of Representatives’ chamber. Some are nail-biter swing districts, and some are cakewalks […] Read more »
Young Voters Still ‘Feel the Bern,’ but Not Just for Bernie Sanders Anymore
… Last time around, Mr. Sanders’s rants against the elite and promises of free college tuition endeared him to legions of young fans. It also helped that Mr. Sanders — 74 at the time, with unruly white hair and an old-school Brooklyn accent — was both decidedly uncool and new […] Read more »