Increasingly, the Democratic presidential nomination seems a battle between former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren. … The two leaders – Biden and Warren – are the two candidates who have presented the clearest rationales for their candidacy. Biden fundamentally promises a return to the Obama years and […] Read more »
How House elections will expand the 2020 Electoral College map
The results of the 2020 House and Senate races will largely determine the efficacy of the next president. Losing either chamber to the other party would hamstring a president’s agenda — allowing the opposition to obstruct legislation, effectively negotiate the budget, and in the case of the Senate, stall executive […] Read more »
What Democrats Could Lose With Their Left Turn
One defining feature of the Democratic primary so far has been the party’s leftward turn. In recent debates, candidates have supported policies like offering health insurance to undocumented immigrants, and commenters have warned about the potential electoral penalty of repelling persuadable voters. Political science research suggests that moderates generally fare […] Read more »
Does Religion Eliminate the Gender Gap?
One of the things that I have to impress upon my graduate students is there aren’t that many “laws” in social science. Unlike the physical sciences where the behavior of cells can be predicted with great precision, we really don’t have any findings that are always true in every circumstance. […] Read more »
Democrats Maintain Favorability Edge Over Republicans
Americans continue to view the Democratic Party slightly more favorably than the Republican Party, but the GOP maintains its edge on two key responsibilities of government — protecting the U.S. from external threats and keeping the country prosperous. CONT. Megan Brenan, Gallup Read more »
Dem leaders plot impeachment messaging war with Trump
House Democrats are plotting an all-out offensive against President Donald Trump as they pursue an impeachment inquiry, announcing plans on Sunday to streamline their messaging operation and aid vulnerable lawmakers as they face potential blowback in their districts. … Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her top deputies laid out the strategy […] Read more »