Congressional Democrats and Republicans each appear to face a challenge moving public opinion on impeachment as public hearings begin, since many Americans say their views are already locked in. There’s been essentially no change in the number who feel President Trump deserves to be impeached since last month, and now […] Read more »
Welcome to the Fractured States of America
… In 2019, there’s only one thing that unites us: just how divided we think we are. In fact, according to the Public Religion Research Institute, 91% of Americans feel we are polarized — and 74% feel we are extremely polarized. Welcome to the Fractured States of America. In this […] Read more »
Watergate Republicans vs. Trump Republicans
The Republicans of 1973/74 seem like a totally different breed than those we’re saddled with today. We recall them as facing the tribulations of Watergate determined to uncover the truth, whatever the consequences, and relentlessly demanding to know what the president knew and when he knew it, in the famous […] Read more »
Democrats Need to Mind the Gap Between Their Base and Swing Voters
Sometimes things can seem contradictory but are not necessarily so. A variety of polls released this week on the 2020 presidential race painted very different pictures of President Trump’s odds for reelection, depending on how narrowly they zoomed in on the electorate. CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
Democrats may be caught in a 2020 time warp on race
A diversity paradox looms over the Democrats’ hopes of recapturing the White House in 2020. The field of Democratic presidential candidates includes the most racial minorities ever, and more minorities will likely vote next year in the party’s primaries than ever before. Yet four white contenders consistently lead in state […] Read more »
White Trump voters are richer than they appear
… Our work suggests that when making voting decisions, people assess their economic position relative to members of their own communities rather than to folks in the whole country. … We find local income position has a significant association with vote choice. As the data in the table show, support […] Read more »