Democrats are rightfully ecstatic that they won two of the three 2019 elections for governor in deep red Southern states, overcoming relentless campaign visits by President Donald Trump. … The continued migration of highly college-educated suburbs away from Republicans in the Trump era is welcome news for Democrats. The Kentucky […] Read more »
Would Republican senators ever vote to convict Trump? Here’s what we can learn from the rest of the world.
… In parliamentary systems, the legislative majority party selects the government leader. Those parties can “fire” their own prime minister if he or she grows unpopular. … This is why a president’s party so infrequently supports impeachment: Doing so tends to hurt the party more than it helps. Only in […] Read more »
Four Scenarios: Republicans’ Best Endgame and Democrats’ Possible Sweep
As of Thanksgiving, there is no projection that is credibly predicting Republicans will win back the House by gaining a net of 17 seats to deny Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats a majority. But, there are a host of analysts suggesting that Trump could win re-election with less than six […] Read more »
Liberals Do Not Want to Destroy the Family
When Attorney General William Barr warned in a speech at Notre Dame on Oct. 11 that secular liberalism had unleashed “licentiousness — the unbridled pursuit of personal appetites at the expense of the common good,” there was a glaring incongruity. How could Barr possibly fail to recognize that there is […] Read more »
Political Communication Meets Big Data
How do voters make sense of the information they hear about candidates in the news and through social media? This question was at the heart of a collaboration between researchers at the University of Michigan, Georgetown University, and Gallup to study political communication that took place during the 2016 U.S. […] Read more »
What past impeachments tell us about Trump’s 2020 prospects
History signals that the public’s final verdict on President Donald Trump’s possible impeachment won’t be delivered until the 2020 election — whatever happens next in the House and Senate, and however Americans react to it. … “The whole impeachment debate has intensified preexisting feelings about the President,” says Republican pollster […] Read more »