Someone pointed me to this post in the Monkey Cage, a political science blog that I participate in. The post was about non-representativeness of political polls, and it had one good point and one bad point. Overall I think the claims in the post were overstated. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia […] Read more »
The two big flaws of the media’s impeachment coverage — and what went right
… Six weeks ago — before Marie Yovanovitch’s stunning testimony, before Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s appalling statement that he would work hand in hand with the White House on a Senate trial strategy, before House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s “don’t you dare” glare at her own members — I urged the […] Read more »
Why Is Trump Finding More Protection Than Nixon Did?
Richard Nixon was a crafty president, at war with his political enemies but inclined to carry out most of his battles behind the scenes. Donald Trump trumpets his grievances, using public lashings to diminish his enemies and nip at allies who anger him. Nixon began his second term in January […] Read more »
Fear and Loyalty: How Donald Trump Took Over the Republican Party
… Just under four years after he began his takeover of a party to which he had little connection, Mr. Trump enters 2020 burdened with the ignominy of being the first sitting president to seek re-election after being impeached. But he does so wearing a political coat of armor built […] Read more »
How’s Impeachment Play in the ‘Burbs?
Between the House voting on articles of impeachment on Wednesday, a deluge of new polls, and the widest open Democratic presidential nomination fight in memory, it is enough to make any political junkie’s head explode. In fact, it’s hard to remember any odd-year December having this much uncertainty. CONT. Charlie […] Read more »
Would Booker and Castro be in tonight’s debate if polls counted people of color accurately?
Donald Trump’s presidency has pushed a variety of groups — including blacks, Latinos, Asian Americans and Native Americans — to become more politically engaged, spurring giant protests and record voter turnout in the 2018 midterms. At the same time, the proportion of the population that is not white continues to […] Read more »