It’s no secret that Iowa has been only lightly touched by the increasing racial diversity that has reconfigured the Democratic Party nationwide. But while the demographic change evident in the Democratic coalition has largely bypassed Iowa, the state has been swept up in the party’s most important geographic change. Democrats […] Read more »
The day the impeachment trial began, data made clear how it was likely to end
… The Trump impeachment comes at a moment when views of the president by party and congressional partisanship have never been further apart. To be removed from office (convicted on the charges of impeachment), Trump would need to see some 20 Republican senators vote against him. With Republican voters strongly […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders, and How Indian Food Can Predict Vote Choice
When was the last time you had vindaloo or tandoori chicken? Chances are if you’re a Democrat in Iowa supporting Joe Biden, it has been a while. The latest New York Times/Siena College poll asked 584 possible Iowa Democratic caucusgoers lots of typical political questions, like whether they were Democrats […] Read more »
Trump’s Digital Advantage Is Freaking Out Democratic Strategists
… If you attend an evangelical or a Catholic Church, a women’s rights march or a political rally of any kind, especially in a seriously contested state, the odds are that your cellphone ID number, home address, partisan affiliation and the identifying information of the people around you will be […] Read more »
Take Two: Can Sanders Broaden His Base?
Bernie Sanders begins his second bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in possession of something he never attained in 2016: A competitive chance of winning. CONT. Rhodes Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball Read more »
Democrats’ Dilemma: Ideology, Electability, and the 2020 Presidential Nomination in Iowa and the Nation
Voters in primary elections generally have two major goals: advancing their policy preferences and winning the general election. This can lead to a dilemma when these goals are in conflict. For many voters in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses, that dilemma is very real. That is because of […] Read more »