An underappreciated challenge of the present era in American politics—a challenge for policymakers, for candidates and their staffs, for pollsters, for journalists—is defining what now counts as “suburban.” Over the last half-century, suburban voters came to be recognized as a bloc distinct from urban and rural voters. By the 1992 […] Read more »
2023 Edelman Trust Barometer: Navigating a Polarized World
2022 was supposed to have been the year when the world emerged from the pandemic, with a promised return to normal life and an economic boom. Instead, we got an unprecedented Russian invasion of Ukraine, spiraling commodity prices, greater global food insecurity, skyrocketing interest rates, continued climate shocks, strict Covid […] Read more »
Why Black voters are more important in Georgia than in any other state
The current list of swing states in American politics mostly features places where Black voters don’t play an outsize role – states such as Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin. Even in swing states where Black voters make up at least 10% of the voting public (e.g., Michigan and Pennsylvania), the Black […] Read more »
What’s going to happen in Washington over the next 2 years? Americans don’t expect much.
Call them realistic: Americans are braced for little compromise and less action in Washington over the next two years of divided government. The messy fight by Republicans to elect a new House speaker left the public convinced by 61%-17% that the GOP and President Joe Biden are less likely to […] Read more »
Will 2023 partisanship lead to another Covid surge?
The calendar has flipped to January and the weather has turned cold in most of the country. For the past two years, that meant a Covid spike was imminent. How does 2023 look? In some ways similar and in other ways very different. But politics hasn’t gone away as a […] Read more »
Party Preferences Evenly Split in 2022 After Shift to GOP
Americans’ party preferences were evenly divided in 2022, with 45% of U.S. adults identifying as Republican or saying they were Republican-leaning independents, and 44% identifying as Democrats or saying they were Democratic-leaning independents. The last time preferences were this closely divided was in 2011, with Democrats holding at least a […] Read more »