Key Points• Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common.• Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee […] Read more »
How Much Longer Can ‘Vote Blue No Matter Who!’ Last?
Over the past four decades, the percentage of white Democrats who identify themselves as liberal has more than doubled, growing at a much faster pace than Black or Hispanic Democrats. In 1984, according to American National Election Studies data, 29.8 percent of white Democrats identified as liberal; by 2020, that […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: State of the Union is dysfunction, dissatisfaction and disapproval
Days before President Biden’s State of the Union speech, a Fox News poll asked voters to assess if the country is coming together. The short answer is no, as 81% see the U.S. as a dysfunctional family that’s breaking apart, up from 71% two years ago. That sentiment hits 86% […] Read more »
Updated Evidence Of Our Increasingly Sclerotic National And State Politics
… At the state level, voters increasingly cast their ballots in similar partisan proportions for different candidates in different circumstances. This political sclerosis reduces the system’s responsiveness to realities. It used to be that great candidates fared much better than bad ones; a country doing well yielded very different results […] Read more »
NY 3 Voters Say Santos Should Resign 78-13%, Including 71% of Reps
By a margin of 78-13%, voters in New York’s 3rd Congressional District overwhelmingly say freshman Republican Representative George Santos should resign, including 89% of Democrats, 72% of independents and 71% of Republicans. His constituents view him unfavorably 83-7%, including 78% of Republicans who view Santos unfavorably, according to a new […] Read more »
Republicans Leery of Compromise With Biden; Majority Want GOP To Focus on Investigations
As partisan battles over the debt ceiling and other key issues loom and the GOP takes back control of the House of Representatives following last fall’s midterm elections, most Republicans say they want their party’s leaders to take a hard line in their dealings with President Joe Biden and the […] Read more »