Democracy Corps’ phone, mostly cell poll with 1,500 respondents in sixteen battleground states shows Joe Biden and the Democrats moving into the kind of lead it needs to deny Donald Trump the ability to disrupt Election Day. The poll was conducted after the selection of Senator Harris and the launch […] Read more »
‘Many People Are Saying’ Trump’s Republican Party Doesn’t Stand For Anything … But They’re Wrong
Did you hear that the Republicans aren’t writing a traditional platform this year? Did you read that the party has only approved a resolution pledged to “enthusiastically support the President’s America-first agenda”? Did you happen to catch the quote in today’s Politico story from veteran GOP congressional hand Brendan Buck, […] Read more »
Democratic Edge in Party Affiliation Shrinks
As the Republican convention gets underway, recent Gallup polling finds the GOP still trailing Democrats in U.S. adults’ party affiliation but not nearly to the degree it did in June. The Democratic advantage over the Republican Party, which was an unusually large 11-percentage-points in June, is now six points. … […] Read more »
Trump is leading Republicans to an unwanted record in the popular vote
American elections tend to swing on a pendulum. No one party usually holds power for too long. Since 1952, for example, only once has a party won the presidency three elections in a row. Yet, partially through a little bit of bad luck and two electoral college-popular vote splits, the […] Read more »
The partisan pandemic: Do we now live in alternative realities?
A protestor argues with a counter-protestor in Los Angeles on May 1, 2020. FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images Andrea Robbett, Middlebury and Peter Hans Matthews, Middlebury Politics can divide even friends and families. When this happens, we like to tell ourselves that the explanation lies in honest differences in […] Read more »
Gallup Experts on How Election 2020 Is Different
How does this election year compare with past elections? What do Gallup’s historical measures suggest about today’s political landscape — and what does this mean for President Donald Trump’s reelection prospects? Gallup’s Director of U.S. Social Research Lydia Saad and Senior Editor Jeff Jones join the podcast to discuss presidential […] Read more »