“I vote the person, not the party,” goes the old saying. And while many may still say that, in practice few do. Drew DeSilver at the incomparable Pew Research Center this month updated a great report from two years ago on voting patterns for U.S. Senate and the presidency. The […] Read more »
Trump has made Americans’ lives worse. Here’s the proof.
Donald Trump’s America is one sad place. We, as a nation, have fallen into a great depression, though not necessarily an economic one. By one highly respected gauge, self-reported levels of happiness are at their lowest since social scientists began asking such questions half a century ago. Much of this […] Read more »
Virus Pulls Down Trump, Poll Shows, and G.O.P. Senators Suffer With Him
President Trump’s mismanagement of the coronavirus pandemic has imperiled both his own re-election and his party’s majority in the Senate, and Republican lawmakers in crucial states like Arizona, North Carolina and Maine have fallen behind their Democratic challengers amid broad disapproval of the president, according to a poll conducted by […] Read more »
For Trump, It’s Not the United States, It’s Red and Blue States
President Trump argued this week that the death toll from the coronavirus was actually not so bad. All you had to do was not count states that voted for Democrats. “If you take the blue states out,” he said, “we’re at a level that I don’t think anybody in the […] Read more »
2020 Has Quietly Become Another ‘Year of the Woman’
The entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate are up for election every two years. But congressional elections tend to lead the news only every other cycle, when there isn’t a concurrent presidential contest. James Madison may have believed that the “legislative authority necessarily predominates” over the executive, […] Read more »
The Dreaded 269-269 Scenario: An Update
Key Points• The latest Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings show how the presidential election could result in a 269-269 deadlock, with neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump possessing a majority of 270 electoral votes.• Even though Democrats hold a House majority and remain on track to maintain that majority next […] Read more »