Key Points• We are moving the Iowa Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Iowa remains a Toss-up for president.• Iowa may have replaced North Carolina as the race likeliest to decide Senate control, although North Carolina remains a very viable Democratic target despite Cal Cunningham’s (D) troubles.• We have […] Read more »
This is Biden’s shortest path to the White House
Two weeks before Election Day, Joe Biden appears well-positioned to finish the job that Democrats above all hired him to do: Rebuild the party’s blue wall in the Rust Belt. Biden’s principal asset in the 2020 Democratic primaries was the widespread sense among party voters that he was best qualified […] Read more »
2020 States of Change Report Finds Generational Transformation Will Be Critical to America’s Electoral Future
The generational makeup of the United States will change dramatically in the future, a shift that will have potentially profound effects in future elections, according to a new States of Change report published today by demographic experts from the Center for American Progress, the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC), the Brookings […] Read more »
Ahead of 2020 Election and Amid Multiple Crises, Trump and Biden Supporters See Different Realities and Futures for the Nation
Two weeks before the presidential election, a new national survey of 2,538 Americans released today by the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) finds that supporters of each presidential candidate see different realities in the current crises in the country, including the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and widespread protests over racial justice. […] Read more »
Excuse me, but is that a partisan wave building?
GOP insiders are now hoping for the best but bracing for the worst. Veteran Republicans have all but given up on Donald Trump’s reelection and are now focused on minimizing the damage down ballot. They criticize Trump’s poor messaging and salute the Democrats’ fundraising numbers, which reflect Democratic enthusiasm and […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump. So did Hillary Clinton. For Democrats, it’s a worrisome campaign deja vu
The polls are once again delivering feel-good boosts to Democrats: Joe Biden beats President Trump by 10, 11 or 12 points nationally, depending on the day. His edge in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin averages eight. Propeller-heads promise better than 4 in 5 odds of a new president next year. But […] Read more »