In November, President Trump lost the election, but he found millions of new voters. Where did these new Trump voters come from? There is no simple answer, but we pored over the results and found some intriguing patterns. Trump increased his vote totals in every state. He saw his biggest […] Read more »
Georgia election will advance this fundamental change in US Senate
The one sure bet from Tuesday’s US Senate runoff elections in Georgia is that they will produce a Senate precariously balanced between the two parties, accelerating a fundamental change that is simultaneously making the institution more volatile and more rigid. Even if Republicans win both races, they will control the […] Read more »
Trump Has Made The Senate Races In Georgia Harder For Republicans
In a taped, hour-long phone call, President Trump asked Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to “find” enough votes to overturn the outcome of the presidential election in Georgia and suggested Raffensperger and his lawyer could be criminally liable if they didn’t. … In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics […] Read more »
An Insurgency From Inside the Oval Office
President Trump’s relentless effort to overturn the result of the election that he lost has become the most serious stress test of American democracy in generations, led not by outside revolutionaries intent on bringing down the system but by the very leader charged with defending it. In the 220 years […] Read more »
The Case For Republicans In Georgia vs. The Case For Democrats
The two Senate runoffs in Georgia are tighter than a 35-minute connection at Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport. … These races could go either way. In fact, between the polls, the fundraising numbers, the early-voting data and the November results, both parties can find reasons to be optimistic heading into election […] Read more »
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Paths to Victory for Both Parties
On Tuesday, voters in Georgia will have the chance to dramatically shape the course of the Biden presidency. If both Democrats (Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock) emerge victorious in the state’s Senate runoff elections, Democrats will control the legislative and executive branches of government. But if just one of the […] Read more »