One year out from the 2024 primaries, here is the debut Fox News national survey on the presidential nomination races. Spoiler alert, former President Donald Trump looks formidable, while President Biden faces doubt. Republican primary voters were read a list of 15 announced and potential candidates for the 2024 nomination. […] Read more »
Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up
Key Points• The overall battle for House control in 2024 starts as a Toss-up.• Relatively similar numbers of Democratic and Republican seats start in the most competitive Toss-up and Leans categories, although Republicans start with a few more targets in large part because of the likelihood that they will benefit […] Read more »
A Strategy for Factory Towns
… This report is part of a continuing effort by American Family Voices to do on-the-ground research and data analysis to understand the thinking and motivation of working-class voters, and to recommend strategies that can begin to rebuild the Democratic Party’s and progressive movement’s historic connection to America’s working class. […] Read more »
For 2024 GOP field, it’s time for Reagan’s ‘Eleventh Commandment’
It seems like a lifetime ago when remembering Ronald Reagan’s embrace in the 1960s of what came to be known as the “Eleventh Commandment.” Meant to limit intraparty fire, the maxim went like this: “Thou shalt not speak ill of another Republican.” … Today, Reagan’s commandment seems much like a […] Read more »
Notes on the State of Politics: Wisconsin’s key state Supreme Court race; U.S. House back to full strength, but not for long
Key Points• In Virginia, Democrats have held the Richmond-area 4th District with state Sen. Jennifer McClellan. Her nearly 50-point win represented a notable overperformance.• The most important judicial race of this year will be in the closely-divided state of Wisconsin, where control of the state Supreme Court is on the […] Read more »
The Forces Tearing Us Apart Are Not Quite What They Seem
A toxic combination of racial resentment and the sharp regional disparity in economic growth between urban and rural America is driving the class upheaval in American partisanship, with the Republican Party dominant in working-class House districts and the Democratic Party winning a decisive majority of upscale House seats. Studies from […] Read more »