As partisan conflicts over voting access take center stage in Congress and in scores of states around the country, the share of Americans who say “everything possible” should be done to make voting easy has declined since 2018 – with the decrease coming entirely among Republicans. CONTINUED Hannah Hartig, Pew […] Read more »
Demographics and Expectations: Analyzing Biden and Trump’s Performances
Key Points• The predictive power of demographics makes county margins strongly correlated and thus inferable from each other. Comparing the actual results to the expected results based on county demographics gives us a better idea of candidate performance.• In the 2020 presidential election, Democrats overperformed in states with high numbers […] Read more »
Biden’s smart bipartisan message
Many commentators seem fascinated, even perplexed, by President Biden’s efforts to define bipartisanship as support from Republican voters instead of from GOP lawmakers. They seem to have missed the political rhetoric of the last 20 years, while also failing to grasp how bipartisanship works in the public mind. … Politicians […] Read more »
The Fate of Biden’s Agenda Hangs in the Balance
Every 10 years, after the collection of census data, states are required to redraw the boundaries of their congressional districts to ensure that they remain equal in population. The process — as readers of this newspaper know — is vulnerable to gerrymandering, in which districts are redrawn to give favored […] Read more »
Do You Think You Can Tell How a Neighborhood Voted Just by Looking Around?
An interactive, street-level quiz on America’s full political landscape Most readers who have played so far are pretty good at this game, at least in certain kinds of places. The precincts that voted overwhelmingly for Donald J. Trump or just as heavily for Joe Biden were generally the easiest for […] Read more »
Why Republicans aren’t likely to budge on gun control
The political script following the recent mass shootings in Boulder, Colorado, and Atlanta feels all too familiar. Democrats, led by President Joe Biden, want Congress to pass gun control legislation, most notably universal background checks, while Republicans are balking. The motions are so familiar that I wrote an article three […] Read more »