The following is a series of thoughts about the response of the election community in light of the unfolding health emergency. These thoughts are current as of the moment they are written—Monday morning, March 16, 2020—and will no doubt change as the situation evolves. 1. The election must go on. […] Read more »
Half of U.S. Workers Expect COVID-19 to Harm Workplace
As U.S. employers rapidly adapt their workplaces to avoid further community spread of COVID-19, American workers offer a mixed assessment of how the disease will affect their place of work. Half say COVID-19 will have a negative effect on their company or workplace — either very (18%) or somewhat negative […] Read more »
Coronavirus Concerns Surge, Government Trust Slides
In the past month, as the coronavirus moved from an outbreak mainly limited to China to a worldwide pandemic, the percentage of Americans worried about being exposed to the virus has surged, while their confidence in the government to handle an outbreak has declined sharply. And the percentage expecting significant […] Read more »
How Uncertainty Around The Coronavirus Affects Our Life And Politics
The spread of the new coronavirus has upended American life overnight. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how much we don’t know about the crisis when trying to assess its impact on life and politics. They also discuss how the virus is affecting plans of […] Read more »
Trump’s failed presidency
Trump’s presidency is failing rapidly. Like others before him, modern American presidents fail when they cannot master or comprehend the government that they inherit. This is a hard concept to grasp in an age when non-stop media coverage leads us to focus on the president’s communication skills and when presidents […] Read more »
‘Older Americans are more worried about coronavirus — unless they’re Republican’ — Take II
Philip Greengard points us to the above-titled news article by Philip Bump. The article was just fine, a reminder of modern-day political polarization. The only thing that bothered me were the graphs. I redrew them. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia U.), Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science Read more »