With all the talk of the importance of the Latino vote to the future of the Republican party, it’s easy to ignore the fact that there are blue states outside of the Southwest that may be bigger and better targets for the GOP in 2016. Pennsylvania represents the biggest promise–and […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P.
… Pennsylvania alone would not have won the election for Mr. Romney. But if the national climate had been slightly better for him over all, he might have won Ohio and Florida. Winning Pennsylvania as well would have given Mr. Romney the Electoral College, even if he had lost Colorado, […] Read more »
Is Pennsylvania no longer a swing state?
Although Mitt Romney and Republican super PACs poured $10 million into the state in the closing week of the campaign, the election result was the same as in every presidential contest since 1992 – a Democratic win. “Six in a row is not just a fluke; it is part of […] Read more »
Mitt’s Pennsylvania Push: Real or Fake?
The Romney campaign seems to have committed to a late push into Pennsylvania, to the derision of Team Obama. The latter sees this as a desperation ploy by a foundering campaign, similar to John McCain’s late entrance into the Keystone State in 2008. Is that right? I don’t think so. […] Read more »
Romney Has a Problem In Pennsylvania: Math
With just one week before next Tuesday’s presidential election, the Romney campaign has apparently decided to embark on a last-minute effort to win the Keystone State. But while Pennsylvania is always tempting for Republicans, there’s a reason Democrats always seem to win by a slight margin. [cont.] Nate Cohn, The […] Read more »
What Arlen Specter Taught Us about Party Switching
In 2009, Arlen Specter (R to D-PA) left his political party and made headlines, enemies, and a few friends in the process. He serves as a cautionary tale to those thinking about jumping ship; Specter did not make it past his primary. Our research … helps to illuminate why the […] Read more »