There is little question that when President Trump holds a rally in Moon Township, Pa., on Saturday night, he will tout the tariffs he imposed on imported steel and aluminum this week. Western Pennsylvania is steel country, after all, so his message should play well there. But it will likely resonate […] Read more »
House 2018: 26 Ratings Changes, All in Favor of Democrats
Amazingly enough, the special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District now looks like a Toss-up. That’s one of 26 House ratings changes we’re making this week, all in favor of Democrats. Republicans are very much in danger of losing a district that supported President Trump by 20 points less than […] Read more »
House Race in Pennsylvania May Turn on Trump Voters’ Regrets
The steel mill where Patti Stroud’s husband worked for 26 years shut down a few weeks before Election Day in 2016. Though she is a registered Democrat, Ms. Stroud had long since drifted away from the party over its liberal social policies. So she voted for Donald J. Trump, hoping […] Read more »
New Pennsylvania Map Is a Major Boost for Democrats
On Monday, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional map for 2018 that’s close to a best-case scenario for Democrats. The map, drawn by a court-appointed special master, doesn’t just undo the gerrymander that’s produced a 13-5 seat GOP edge since 2012. It goes further, actively compensating for Democrats’ […] Read more »
The New Pennsylvania House Districts Are In. We Review the Mapmakers’ Choices.
Perhaps no event will do more to reshape the fight for control of the House than the new congressional map just released by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. At stake was the fate of a Republican gerrymander that intended to cement a 13-5 Republican advantage in an evenly divided state. Now […] Read more »
The 7 Governorships Republicans Could Pick Up This Year
Democrats have a great chance at picking up gubernatorial seats in November — but that doesn’t mean they won’t need to defend a few of their own. Last week, we showed why polls of governors races released so far should be taken with a grain of salt. This early in […] Read more »