… A number of Republicans running for governor or senator in Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania, including several who hitched their wagon to Trump’s political movement, are behind in polls by double digits, a remarkable turnabout in swing states that were key to the president’s 2016 victory. … The dramatic […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Illinois, Texas & Pennsylvania: Elections 2018
Illinois, Texas and Pennsylvania are the latest trio in our midterm election battleground state polls with NBC News. In this episode of Poll Hub we break down the numbers and assess the relevance of these states as we head into the thick of the election season. CONT. Marist Poll Read more »
Pennsylvanians give low marks to Trump and tariffs
Pennsylvania, a state that helped put President Donald Trump in the White House, isn’t too keen on the president’s tariff push, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds, as a near majority fears that the ongoing trade war will ultimately damage the U.S. economy. … Trump’s job approval rating among adults […] Read more »
Trump Won Pennsylvania. Democrats Want the State (and His Voters) Back.
… In his 2016 victory, Mr. Trump swiped several states that Democrats had assumed were theirs: Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida. But perhaps no outcome matched the psychic toll of losing Pennsylvania, where the past Democratic coalition of city-dwelling liberals, racial minorities and white working-class voters in union towns had long defined […] Read more »
(Mis)interpreting elections
From our first appearance on earth, human beings have searched for meaning. We naturally incline toward interpreting events and ascribing significance to them. … There are both the intrinsic and extrinsic pressures to find meaning in the events of the day and particularly in election results. However, such assessments often […] Read more »
Senate 2018: Two Rust Belt Ratings Move in the Democrats’ Direction
In 2016, President Donald Trump narrowly carried Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by a combined 67,000 or so votes to defeat Hillary Clinton and carry the two states’ combined 30 electoral votes. Those victories, along with Trump’s 10,000-vote win in Michigan, seemingly signaled an end to the “Blue Wall” that supposedly gave […] Read more »