… Far from the power centers of Washington, the early 2020 primary states or the money-rich coastal cities that fund many national campaigns, a shift in the political winds is growing stronger. The Republican Party and its candidates, particularly in state and local campaigns, are increasingly being reshaped in President […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Democrats Wonder How Far Is Too Far Left in 2020
This should be an upbeat moment for Pennsylvania Democrats, desperate to deprive President Trump of a second term. In elections last year, two Trump-like Republicans running for governor and senator lost to Democrats by blowout margins. Four Democrats wrestled away Republican-held congressional seats, including Conor Lamb, whose victory here outside […] Read more »
Donald Trump still shows some strength in the Midwest heading into 2020
… A Des Moines Register poll puts President Donald Trump’s approval rating in Iowa at 46%, while his disapproval rating in the same poll is at 50%. This mirrors a year-long Gallup poll in Iowa which has Trump’s approval rating at 45% and his disapproval rating at 51%. … There’s […] Read more »
How Does the ‘Blue Wall’ Look for 2020?
There’s something of a consensus forming that the “easiest” or least risky electoral path for the Democratic nominee in 2020 is to reconstruct the so-called “Blue Wall” in the industrial midwest. If the Democratic nominee wins every state Hillary Clinton carried in 2016, plus Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, that Democrat […] Read more »
What’s Stronger Than a Blue Wave? Gerrymandered Districts
When the blue wave came to North Carolina, the red levees held. In a year in which Democrats picked up as many as 41 House seats, including in places as conservative as Oklahoma and Utah, they lost all three of their targets for pickups in one of the nation’s most […] Read more »
What Could Hold Back a Democratic Wave? Economy, Confidence, Independence.
… Lost in all the talk about a Democratic blue wave is a set of sober reality checks — from the quantifiable to the emotional — that may help Republicans reduce their losses, and possibly even retain their 23-seat majority. In many neighborhoods with key House races, daily life is […] Read more »