The immediate post-election story has focused on the continued Republican problems in the suburbs. But there’s another part of the story that is good news for the GOP, a part that shows our continuing realignment moves in two directions. That story is the ongoing movement of formerly Democratic regions and […] Read more »
Polling in Four Former ‘Blue Wall’ States Finds President Trump Is Voters’ Biggest Motivator
A year ahead of the 2020 presidential election, President Trump is the biggest defining factor for voters in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – more often in a negative than a positive direction, finds a new partnership survey from KFF and The Cook Political Report of more than 3,000 voters […] Read more »
Democrats extend their dominance of the suburbs, with an eye to 2020
New flashes of Democratic electoral strength Tuesday from the outskirts of Memphis, Cincinnati and Philadelphia to the neighborhoods of Northern Virginia marked an advancement of the party’s dominance across America’s fast-changing suburbs. The results underscored the profound electoral realignment that has been unfolding since President Trump’s ascent upended the nation’s […] Read more »
The Suburban Backlash Against the GOP Is Growing
The shift of metro areas away from the Republican Party under President Donald Trump rumbled on in yesterday’s elections, threatening the fundamental calculation of his 2020 reelection plan. Amid all the various local factors that shaped GOP losses—from Kentucky to Virginia, from suburban Philadelphia to Wichita, Kansas—the clearest pattern was […] Read more »
What The 2019 Election Results Mean
Voters went to the polls in no fewer than 39 states on Tuesday, weighing in on governorships and obscure ballot initiatives alike. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, election analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley break down what the results tell us about the national environment and whether […] Read more »
Trump and Republicans have a suburban problem
President Donald Trump’s Republican Party has a suburban problem, and it’s not clear that they know what to do about it. As urban areas become more Democratic leaning and rural areas move to the right, the suburbs are likely going to be where the 2020 election is decided. Tuesday’s elections […] Read more »