Imagine three presidents. The first sold a moderate message to win a three-way race with 49% of the vote. The second sold a conservative one and won with just under 51% of the vote. And the third ran a liberal campaign and won with just over 51% of the vote. […] Read more »
How black voters could determine the 2016 election
… Democrats hope that high turnout rates among African Americans will be “sticky,” where voters motivated to cast ballots for Obama will transition into habitual voters in future years. But Democrats’ appeal to black voters could also matter a great deal in how much black turnout dips. Clinton is popular […] Read more »
Disappointment in Obama leads some African Americans to ask: Is voting even worth it?
… Running to be the first female president, Clinton will also try to generate Obama-like enthusiasm among new voters — those who were too young to turn out for Obama or have not previously been engaged with politics. Yet as her allies prepare to register voters and expand the black […] Read more »
Voldemort is polling better than many Republican presidential candidates
Think about all the things you look for in a presidential candidate: a solid economic plan. Maybe some foreign policy experience. And how about insatiable bloodlust and multiple rows of serrated teeth? As it turns out, the shark from the Jaws movies has better favorability numbers than any politician included […] Read more »
Are Republicans or Democrats closer to general American public opinion on the Middle East?
Middle East policy is likely to be a key battlefield in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton will need to choose whether to run on her record as secretary of state or distance herself from the Obama administration, with her challengers positioning accordingly. On the […] Read more »
Things are looking up for President Obama
President Obama’s standing with the American public is improving as he nears the final 18 months of his presidency, and a combination of solid economic numbers, finding common ground with Republicans, and a diminished need to serve as the partisan leader of Democrats should augur well for the stretch run. […] Read more »