… Obama’s doing especially well by recent historical standards. At this point in their presidencies, Ronald Reagan was mired in a scandal over secret arms shipments to Iran, Bill Clinton was emerging from impeachment, and George W. Bush was presiding over the beginning of a financial crash. Nevertheless, most Americans […] Read more »
Obama and Walker: four years of Wisconsin polling — and polarization
When the Marquette University Law School launched its massive statewide polling project four years ago, Wisconsin voters were split straight down the middle over President Barack Obama: 47% approved and 47% disapproved. Thirty polls later, little has changed. … Wisconsin could hardly be more polarized along party lines over its […] Read more »
AP-Times Square Alliance online poll: Mass shootings weighed on Americans in 2015
… Americans say the most important events of 2015 were a string of mass shootings, including the attacks in San Bernardino, California, and Paris, plus Islamic State group atrocities. … Americans also are much less likely than they were a year ago to believe that the current year was better […] Read more »
Trump, Obama and the Assault on Political Correctness
“I’m so tired of this politically correct crap,” Donald Trump told a cheering audience of South Carolina business leaders in September. “That’s called politicians’ speak.” Opposition to political correctness has always been a weapon brandished by the right against what it sees as “multicultural” liberalism, but Trump has taken this […] Read more »
The Path to 270 in 2016: Can the Obama Coalition Survive?
One year out, the presidential election of 2016 appears wide open. Over the past four election cycles, American voters have yet to render a decisive verdict on partisan control of the federal government. … If Democrats are to retain the presidency in 2016, they will need to successfully transfer the […] Read more »
10 Factors That Will Determine the Next President
… What follows is an exploration of 10 factors that will probably determine the White House winner next year. Some of these — many of them, in fact — suggest that the GOP should be seen as a narrow favorite. But a few factors, combined with the live possibility that […] Read more »