No, disgruntled primary losers won’t vote for the other party in November

… Some scholars say hotly contested primaries encourage voters to support the final candidate in a general election; others say that bitter partisans may support alternative candidates. To explore this question, we looked at vote choice in the 2008 presidential election, which, as is true in 2016, had no incumbent […] Read more »

A Tale of Two Elections: Clinton’s 2016 Primary Performance Versus 2008

One striking aspect of the Democratic primary race was the stark role-reversal in Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance compared with her narrow loss to Barack Obama in 2008’s Democratic nomination battle. Whereas she ran against Obama in 2008, she positioned herself as his successor at every turn during her race against […] Read more »

Clinton maintains lead after claiming nomination

With the presidential primary season now officially at a close, Hillary Clinton (43 percent) holds a six-point lead over Donald Trump (37 percent) – the same margin she led Trump by a month ago. Most of the interviewing for the poll was conducted before the mass shooting in Orlando, Florida […] Read more »

Clinton Has 12-Point Edge Over Trump in Bloomberg National Poll

Democrat Hillary Clinton has opened up a double-digit lead nationally over Republican Donald Trump, whose negatives remain unusually high for a presidential candidate amid early indications that the Orlando terrorist attack has had little direct impact on the 2016 race. CONT. John McCormick, Bloomberg Politics Read more »

Will Bernie Sanders supporters rally behind Hillary Clinton now? Here’s what we know.

Hillary Clinton’s declaration of victory this week has officially set in motion the effort to mend the wounds of a sometimes bitter primary contest. Party leaders hoping that Sen. Bernie Sanders’s backers will support Clinton this fall have at least one reason for optimism: There are apparently fewer hard feelings […] Read more »