I got it wrong. Really wrong. Trump didn’t just win, he crushed it. This is truly the most shocking thing that I have seen in my lifetime. So, what happened? We are going to be digging through the data for a while. But, at its core the Obama coalition lost […] Read more »
Barack Obama is now viewed more positively than Ronald Reagan was in 1988
Pollster.com’s Charles Franklin was a little ahead of the curve Sunday morning when he pointed out that President Obama’s approval rating right now is among the highest Election-Day approval ratings in recent history. … Why is that ahead of the curve? Because on Monday, fewer than 24 hours before polls […] Read more »
Why the Election Is Close, and What Trump and Obama Have in Common
Donald J. Trump is in striking distance of winning the election with two days to go, and there’s really just one reason for that: He’s leading white voters without a college degree by a huge margin. In recent national surveys, Mr. Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 59 percent to 30 […] Read more »
The Iowa Outlier, Where Obama Voters Go Trump
In an election where a dominant narrative is Hillary Clinton trying to expand the Democratic electoral map, Iowa is a noteworthy an outlier. The Hawkeye State voted for Barack Obama for president in 2008 and 2012 by good margins, and yet most polls show Donald Trump with a slight lead […] Read more »
Impressions of US direction improved, but divided by partisanship
More Americans than at any time in Barack Obama’s presidency now say that things in the United States are going well, a sharp uptick in positive views and the best reviews of the country’s trajectory since January 2007, according to the latest CNN/ORC poll. … The new poll also finds […] Read more »
Harvard Youth Poll: Clinton in commanding lead over Trump
A new national poll of America’s 18 to 29 year olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 28%. Clinton captured 49% of likely young voters’ support while Trump received 21% in a four-way race. Gary […] Read more »