Since the election last month, we have seen a parade of analyses examining how Clinton supporters differ from Trump supporters along the dividing lines of race, education, and geographic residence. The persistence of partisan differences by age in American elections, however, has received somewhat less attention. … Hillary Clinton may […] Read more »
How Trump Broke the Blue Wall
President-elect Donald Trump’s success at breaking the so-called “blue wall” – those Rust Belt states that had voted for a Democrat in every election since at least 1992 – was the key to his victory. To help understand how he did this, I compared exit poll data from the last […] Read more »
It’s Not All About Clinton — The Midwest Was Getting Redder Before 2016
Here’s one of the biggest questions Democrats face in the wake of Hillary Clinton’s loss: Did Clinton have an Electoral College problem or does the Democratic Party have an Electoral College problem? CONT. Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
GOP gained ground in middle-class communities in 2016
The Republican Party made deep inroads into America’s middle-class communities in 2016. Although many middle-class areas voted for Barack Obama in 2008, they overwhelmingly favored Donald Trump in 2016, a shift that was a key to his victory. Meanwhile, Democrats had more success retaining a loose “coalition” of lower-income and […] Read more »
Battleground Poll Shows Jump in Donald Trump’s Image
President-elect Donald Trump’s public image has notably improved since winning the presidency in November, according to the latest George Washington University Battleground Poll. Of the voters surveyed, 45 percent had a favorable opinion of the president-elect, while 49 percent viewed him negatively. This represents a large swing from the last […] Read more »
Majority of Americans Say Trump Can Keep Businesses, Poll Shows
Two-thirds of U.S. adults think Donald Trump needs to choose between being president or a businessman, but slightly more — 69 percent — believe it goes too far to force him and his family to sell their business empire to avoid conflicts of interest. The first Bloomberg National Poll since […] Read more »