Not much in the just-released NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conflicts with the story line that we’re going to see a lot of close races this fall. … One source of good news for Democrats is that Obama draws a 51 percent approval rating on foreign policy; the bad news […] Read more »
Mr. 48%
What’s striking about our new NBC/WSJ poll — as well as our new round of NBC-Marist polls — is the consistency of the numbers for President Obama: He’s at or near 48% every way you slice it. [ cont. ] Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, Brooke Brower, NBC Read more »
Ten Key Insights Into the U.S. Presidential Election
The Nov. 6 U.S. presidential election is now about 24 weeks away, and both major-party candidates continue their nonstop campaigning to win over the hearts, minds, and motivations of voters. Gallup has been measuring public opinion related to the election — either directly or indirectly — for well over a […] Read more »
What Does President Obama’s May Approval Rating Tell Us About His Reelection Chances?
… Whether we base our prediction on President Obama’s 47% approval rating in the Gallup Poll in early May or a more sophisticated forecasting model incorporating economic conditions and the “time for change” factor, it appears likely that we are headed for a very close election in November. … Alan […] Read more »
Romney bullying incident fazes few
A nearly 50-year-old bullying allegation against Mitt Romney doesn’t faze many voters, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Most Americans see the incident — recounted by some of Romney’s high school classmates in a Washington Post story — as not serious, and almost all, 90 percent, say it […] Read more »
Obama leads big with Latinos
Less than six months before November’s presidential election, President Obama enjoys a sizable lead over Mitt Romney among Latino voters, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll of Latino respondents. The challenge for the Obama campaign, however, will be turning out these voters, who aren’t as interested […] Read more »