Barack Obama won 52.9 percent of the popular vote in 2008 and 365 electoral votes, 95 more than he needed. Many naturally concluded that prejudice was not a major factor against a black presidential candidate in modern America. My research, a comparison of Americans’ Google searches and their voting patterns, […] Read more »
Knife’s Edge
President Obama’s bid for a second term stands on the edge of a knife. That’s the overriding message of the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll. In the survey, the country divides almost in half on Obama’s overall performance as president, his impact on the economy, and the choice between […] Read more »
Latinos Favor Obama over Romney, Oppose Rubio DREAM
A new Latino Decisions national poll released June 8, 2012 finds Democrat President Barack Obama with a 43-point margin over Republican Mitt Romney among Latino voters heading in the 2012 Presidential election. [cont.] Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions Read more »
Demographic Shifts in Key States Could Aid Obama in Fall
… That’s no guarantee the Democratic incumbent can survive the effects of tough economic times with the coalition that gave him a double-digit victory four years ago. But in Wisconsin and other competitive states, demographic changes add another variable to a campaign conversation that has largely revolved around high unemployment […] Read more »
The Media Doesn’t Understand Races in the States
… Obama is not enjoying a “commanding lead” in Pennsylvania – not in any meaningful sense of the term. Nor is he necessarily favored to win it. [cont.] Jay Cost, The Weekly Standard Read more »
Mormons Widely Favor Romney; Jewish Voters Back Obama
Mormon registered voters overwhelmingly support the candidacy of the first major-party presidential candidate of the Mormon faith, with 84% saying they would vote for Mitt Romney, compared with 13% who prefer Barack Obama. Obama, meanwhile, enjoys solid support from Jewish voters, 64% to 29%. [cont.] Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »