Everyone has an opinion about swing states. I figured it was time to explain how I see the presidential map. [cont.] Stuart Rothenberg Read more »
Why Romney looks more ‘confident’ in reporters’ eyes
One of the most frequent problems with campaign reporting is the way that journalists construct candidate-centric narratives that coincide with the ups and downs of the race. [cont.] Brendan Nyhan, Dartmouth College, Columbia Journalism Review Read more »
Obama Immigration Policy Favored 2-To-1 By Likely Voters
President Barack Obama is winning the opening round in the battle over immigration, according to a Bloomberg poll released today, putting Republicans on the defensive with his decision to end the deportations of some illegal immigrants brought to the U.S. as children. [cont.] Lisa Lerer, Bloomberg Read more »
Pendulum Swings
… For a long time, the conventional wisdom seemed to be locked into the view that the fundamental dynamics and extraordinary rhetorical skills that elected Barack Obama as president in 2008 would more or less continue, making him a clear favorite for reelection. Now, conventional wisdom seems to be shifting […] Read more »
Latino voters in battle ground states enthusiastic about Obama DREAM announcement
A new poll released June 17, 2012, by Latino Decisions and America’s Voice finds that Latino registered voters are very enthusiastic about President Obama’s recent announcement and action on immigration policy that will halt deportations and provide temporary work permits to some young undocumented immigrants. [cont.] Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions Read more »
The Obama Campaign Needs an Intervention
… Private conversations with a half-dozen of the smartest Democratic political thinkers — all of whom have played at the highest levels of national campaigns, are genuine Obama backers, and almost never are consulted by the campaign — reveal a consensus of advice for the president: Stop trying to tell […] Read more »