U.S. registered voters show limited support for third-party candidates this year, with the vast majority preferring Barack Obama or Mitt Romney. [cont.] Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »
Race Tightens in the Aftermath of Healthcare Ruling
In the latest Investor’s Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor /TIPP Poll, conducted after the Supreme Court ruling on healthcare, President Obama leads Governor Romney by 1-point. Romney’s 7-point advantage with Independent voters in our last poll has now narrowed to 3-points now. [cont.] TIPP Read more »
Jobs report unlikely to change election dynamic
The race between President Obama and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has been remarkably immune to influence from outside events with only the biggest of news — the killing of Osama bin Laden, for one — able to shift the dynamic even for a short period of time. Take last […] Read more »
Stakes for Jobs Figures Rise as Voters’ Views Start to Solidify
… Some pollsters reject the idea that summer economic measures will settle the choices of undecided voters, who tend to make up their minds very late. “Personally, I think it borders on the ridiculous,” said Mark Mellman, a prominent Democratic pollster. “No one can say for sure that anything is […] Read more »
Jim Lehrer and Andrew Kohut Discuss the 2012 Election
On Monday, July 2, retiring “PBS NewsHour” anchor Jim Lehrer interviewed Pew Research Center President Andrew Kohut at the Chautauqua Institution’s Morning Lecture Series. … Lehrer and Kohut discussed the U.S. Supreme Court’s recent decision about the Affordable Care Act, the divided American electorate and how it will play out […] Read more »
Why is ‘issue coverage’ so boring—and often wrong?
… When pollsters—yes, pollsters—start sounding like high-minded press critics, it’s a sign that horse-race hysteria has grown to absurd levels. With the election still four months away, we are hooked up to ephemeral data bursts with a shelf life of four hours. [cont.] Walter Shapiro, Columbia Journalism Review Read more »