More independent voters in the suburbs are satisfied with President Barack Obama’s job performance than in 2011, putting Obama into a dead heat with presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney among all suburban voters, a new National Suburban Poll shows. [cont.] National Center for Suburban Studies, Hofstra U. Read more »
Californians and the Environment
Most California likely voters say that the presidential candidates’ positions on global warming and energy policy are important in determining their vote, and a majority trust President Obama over Mitt Romney on these issues. [cont. – PDF] Public Policy Institute of California Read more »
Do Presidential Campaigns Matter? Evidence From the 2008 Election
… All of the campaign visits and all of the money being spent on television ads raise an important question for scholars and interested observers of presidential elections: How much difference does all of this campaigning and spending make? [cont.] Alan Abramowitz, Emory U. Read more »
Voter Suppression and Political Polls
… This year, we may have to take the polls with an even larger grain of salt than usual. The greatest margin of uncertainty may well be caused by poll respondents who think that they will able to vote for President Obama in November, but may not be allowed to […] Read more »
Forthcoming Bounces
… [W]e are looking at a sequential three-bounce sequence: Romney’s VP bounce, Romney’s convention bounce, and Obama’s convention bounce. The meaningful data will be the contours of the race when the dust settles after all three bounce opportunities have occurred. At that point, the race will go through a period […] Read more »
Catholics Share Bishops’ Concerns about Religious Liberty
Catholics who are aware of U.S. bishops’ concerns about restrictions on religious liberty generally agree with the bishops’ concerns. Yet the bishops’ protests against government policies they see as restrictive of religious liberty have not drawn much more interest among Catholics than among the general public. And there are no […] Read more »