… If the Electoral College does come into play, on what will the outcome hinge? As we head toward to Republican convention, here’s a late-summer assessment—not so much a prediction as a viewer’s guide to the fall contest. [cont.] William Galston, The New Republic Read more »
Race and the 2012 election
Most of the issues dominating the 2012 election make sense. There’s the economy, of course. The budget deficit. Medicare. Obamacare. But click through the “videos” section of Mitt Romney’s Web site and you’ll see something odd: His campaign is running more ads about welfare than just about any other issue. […] Read more »
Phase V of the Campaign Begins
… Conventions have little official function anymore. So their value to the candidates — the value that can produce an average five-percentage-point “bounce” in a candidate’s standing in the polls — is based on the intensive media coverage that focuses voters on the party’s ticket. Mitt Romney’s campaign faces a […] Read more »
The 10 numbers that matter in the new Washington Post-ABC News poll
The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, which was released this morning, is chock full of fascinating and, at times, contradictory indicators about what people think of President Obama and Mitt Romney, the state of the country and where we are headed on November 6. We’ve already written plenty about what’s […] Read more »
More Interest in GOP Platform than Romney’s Speech
As the Republican convention gets underway, more Americans express interest in learning about what’s in the GOP platform than in the speeches by either Mitt Romney or his running mate. [cont.] Pew Read more »
Most Americans Still Predict Obama Will Win 2012 Election
Most Americans believe President Obama will win the presidential election this fall, even though the race has been highly competitive for most of the year. Americans’ expectation that Obama will win has been remarkably consistent, virtually unchanged since May despite three intervening months of campaigning. [cont.] Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »