Most foreign policy entanglements do not result in a “rally around the flag” event — when a president’s popularity jumps because Americans rally behind their commander-in-chief. That’s according to a 2001 study by William Baker of the Arkansas School for Mathematics and Sciences and John Oneal of the University of […] Read more »
Amid Leaks, Recalling an Epic Battle Over Press Freedom in Nixon Era
As details trickled into print and pixels about Russian tampering with the election that put him in the White House, a snappish President Trump lashed out in his favored medium. On Feb. 15, he wrote on Twitter: “The real scandal here is that classified information is illegally given out by […] Read more »
G.O.P., Once Unified Against Obama, Struggles for Consensus Under Trump
Whenever a major conservative plan in Washington has collapsed, blame has usually been fairly easy to pin on the Republican hard-liners who insist on purity over practicality. But as Republicans sifted through the detritus of their failed effort to replace the Affordable Care Act, they were finding fault almost everywhere […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Voters want congressional investigations into Russia
Majorities of voters think Congress should investigate if Russia interfered with the election and allegations of coordination between the Trump campaign and Russia. That’s according to the latest Fox News Poll, taken amidst a new volley of allegations of ties between Trump and Russia, and wiretapping of Trump Tower. CONT. […] Read more »
How Big Data Broke American Politics
Big Data revolutionized the way American politicians win elections. In the process, it broke American politics. … Here’s our theory: The reason our lawmakers aren’t responding to the center of the electorate is because they’ve concluded (with ample electoral evidence) that they don’t need centrist or swing voters to win. […] Read more »
American Bridge Polling Of Obama/Trump Voters On The Trump Agenda
American Bridge is today releasing new polling conducted by Anzalone Liszt Grove Research that focuses on voters who approved of President Obama’s record and successes but supported Trump in November’s election (“Obama/Trump” voters). The data shows that Democrats are well positioned to win back those Obama/Trump voters in 2018 and […] Read more »