The presidential race remains a tight contest, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll, but beyond that near-even split on the vote lie shifting public views of the nation’s outlook and an electorate beginning to tune in to watch the candidates duke it out for the 17 percent of likely […] Read more »
Wisconsin Offers Window Into Challenges Confronting Romney
To Mitt Romney, the 10 electoral votes in Wisconsin may be more essential than extra, a critical backup plan if a first-tier battleground state falls out of reach. … But President Obama has overtaken Mr. Romney on who would do a better job handling the economy, according to a new […] Read more »
Obama leads in Virginia, Wisconsin; Tight in Colorado
President Obama holds a narrow lead over Mitt Romney in the key swing states of Virginia, Wisconsin and Colorado, according to a new Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times survey. [cont.] CBS News Read more »
Romney’s Video Remarks Have Deep GOP Roots
… Far from a gaffe, Romney’s remarks reflected both a long-standing belief among conservatives that the nation faces a “tipping point” in which growing dependency will create an insurmountable electoral majority for big government — and Democratic candidates. … GOP pollster Whit Ayres says that focus groups still find a […] Read more »
Are voters giving up on recovery?
For the past 12 months, I have said President Obama would lose his reelection bid, primarily because of the national discouragement reflected in the well-known and widely used “right direction” or “wrong track” question. Historical data says that candidates for president or governor facing an electorate that is majority-“wrong track” […] Read more »
Whither the independents
… For those focused on the internal dynamics of the election, the picture is anything but clear with respect to one of the most important segments of the electorate — independents. … The same polls that reveal relative consistency overall contain extraordinary variation when it comes to the votes of […] Read more »