… There may have been a backlash against voter suppression laws, bringing more minorities to the polls, not fewer. The share of Hispanic voters rose in many states won by Obama. That can be attributed both to the surging Hispanic population in the country and to the Obama campaign’s incredible […] Read more »
The GOP has lost its way. Here’s how it can return to its roots.
… True, the election outcome was a rejection of Mitt Romney, but it was also a rejection of a political party that for many has become incoherent at best and contradictory at worst. Doubts plague the GOP. It is no exaggeration to call them “severe.” The Republican Party has more […] Read more »
Messina: Obama Won On The Small Stuff
Barack Obama’s campaign manager, Jim Messina, said Friday that the president’s reelection was won “on the micro stuff.” … “You have to test every single thing, to challenge every assumption, and to make sure that everything we do is provable.” … Messina spoke to BuzzFeed Friday after sharing a panel stage […] Read more »
Gender Gap in 2012 Vote Is Largest in Gallup’s History
President Barack Obama won the two-party vote among female voters in the 2012 election by 12 points, 56% to 44%, over Republican challenger Mitt Romney. Meanwhile, Romney won among men by an eight-point margin, 54% to 46%. That total 20-point gender gap is the largest Gallup has measured in a […] Read more »
Mixed Message: Divided Nation Is Still Divided
Tuesday’s results were not unexpected, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t send shock waves through the political establishment. The president was re-elected at the same time Democrats retained the Senate and Republicans continued to hold the House, but the elections seem to raise more questions about the future for the […] Read more »
Polling, Likely Voters, and the Law of the Commons
… We would always like to make a final poll estimate that is exactly on target with the final popular vote percentage for both candidates. That is the goal. But our estimate (and almost all other national polls at the end), gave a broadly accurate picture of what was, in […] Read more »