Last week’s election is open to so many interpretations, many seemingly contradictory, that it offers something for almost anyone of any ideological or partisan stripe. Let’s take a closer look at the truth behind a few of these selective interpretations. [cont.] Charlie Cook Read more »
Three Keys From the Exit Polls
Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters. And, we have to admit it is us, not them. [cont.] Glen Bolger, Public Opinion Strategies Read more »
The GOP Has Problems With White Voters, Too
… Romney’s strong national showing among white voters was almost exclusively driven by historic support from Southern and Appalachian white voters. … Outside the South, Romney’s performance among white voters was anything but historic. He ran behind Bush’s tallies in most of the northern half of the United States. [cont.] […] Read more »
Who got it right in 2012
Post-election, the discussion of “who got it right” has pretty much begun and ended with Nate Silver. I’m a fan of Silver’s, but some other names deserve to appear on the honor roll. So here’s who I trust more now that the election is over. [cont.] Ezra Klein, Washington Post Read more »
The Perils of Democrats’ Euphoria, or Why the 2012 Election Is Not a Realignment
… After presidential elections, commentators—especially those on the winning side—often seem to believe that Something Big Is Happening. It’s not just that the winner won and the loser lost. It’s that the winner won in a transformational way, in a way that will fundamentally reshape politics, in a way that […] Read more »
Polling and the 2012 Election
There are a number of challenges facing the survey research industry, and every election offers the opportunity to continue to learn, change, and adapt. As a leader in the industry, we take every election, whether there are good election outcomes like 2010 or bad election outcomes like 2012, as a […] Read more »