Although there was plenty of discussion during the 2012 presidential campaign about the Hispanic vote and how intense black turnout would be, the press was preoccupied with the white vote: the white working class, white women and upscale whites. Largely missing from daily news stories were references to research on […] Read more »
Obama’s Confrontation with Conservative Whites
… Obama may not be simply catering to the “coalition of the ascendant” and more to, well, a larger majority of Americans. Let’s take the issues [Ron] Brownstein cites: [cont.] John Sides, George Washington U. (The Monkey Cage) Read more »
Poll Finds a Boost for Obama on Handling Immigration
Public approval of Barack Obama’s handling of immigration has jumped to a career high in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, buttressed by majority support for a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants and, much more broadly, endorsement of stricter border control. [cont.] Greg Holyk, ABC News Recent polls: Immigration Read more »
The power of the State of the Union
… SOTUs have no consistent impact on the core indicator of a president’s political health: his job-approval rating. Examining those approval ratings just before and just after SOTU addresses reveals that the average change is zero. In fact, it is more common for approval ratings to decline than to improve […] Read more »
Hispanics’ Approval of Obama 70%, Up 12 Pts. Since August
In January, 70% of Hispanics approved of the job President Barack Obama was doing, down slightly from 75% in December. However, the January measure still represents an increase of 12 percentage points since last August, just prior to the Democratic National Convention. [cont.] Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »
Seeking consensus on immigration, guns
… On issues like gun control and immigration, intensity matters more than numbers. Politicians don’t just look at polls. They pay attention to how many votes the issue drives on each side. If the minority votes the issue and the majority doesn’t, the minority prevails. [cont.] Bill Schneider, George Mason […] Read more »