Gerald Seib of The Wall Street Journal speaks with elections forecaster Stuart Rothenberg about 2014. Read more »
Obama’s Data Team Totally Schooled Gallup
… But given the collaborative effort and many moving parts of a modern presidential campaign, it can be difficult to isolate the data team’s contribution. One great example, though, is the intricate mathematical models of swing states that [Dan] Wagner and colleagues built that were meant to offer an alternative […] Read more »
Democrats and the White House: From Losing to Winning
Accurately or not, Barack Obama has been compared to a number of famous politicians: FDR, JFK, Ronald Reagan, even Jimmy Carter. But no one as yet has compared him to Michael Dukakis. Yet as a reference point, Dukakis might be as good as anyone. A look at his vote-getting performance […] Read more »
Most Americans still disapprove of sequester
The government-wide spending cuts known as the sequester remain unpopular for most Americans, with little difference in opinion across party lines, according to a Washington Post-ABC poll released Friday. Thirty-seven percent of Americans say they have felt a negative impact from the sequester, the poll shows. The data indicates 56 […] Read more »
Budget Cuts Get Personal; Those Who Are Hurt, Holler
The federal budget sequester may be dampening a rise in economic optimism: Nearly four in 10 Americans now say sequestration has hurt them personally, up substantially since it began in March – and they’re far less sanguine than others about the economy’s prospects overall. Thirty-seven percent in the latest ABC […] Read more »
A Glass House: No Wonder Republican Criticism of Obama Isn’t Working
… Americans may not be ecstatic about President Obama and his policies, but compared with the Republicans, they think Obama doesn’t look so bad. This might partly explain why, even with all of the controversies engulfing the Obama administration these days, the president doesn’t appear to be hurt at all, […] Read more »