Those that know me understand that I hate any turn of the phrase “permanent majority”. I almost always believe that there are larger, mostly uncontrollable, factors at play such as the state of the economy for national elections that have a greater influence in determining the outcome. Therefore, I pretty […] Read more »
Polls give Obama a free pass
The public polls are giving President Obama a free pass. None are asking the tough questions about his performance in office. Most importantly, no pollsters in the public realm are asking about Obama’s perceived motives and public demeanor. CONT. David Hill (Hill Research Consultants), The Hill Read more »
The Battleground: The Shutdown and Looking Ahead to 2014
Celinda Lake, Daniel Gotoff & Alex Dunn, Lake Research Partners Two weeks after the latest Republican‐led attempt to sabotage this President came to an ignominious end, the dust has settled and we are left to assess the damage. While the harm done to the Republican brand is undeniable and the […] Read more »
Battleground 2014: Both Parties Are Down, but the GOP is Not Out
Ed Goeas & Brian Nienaber, The Tarrance Group This latest edition of the George Washington University Battleground Poll finds a national political environment that has gone from bad to worse. Nearly three-fourths of the American electorate (73%) believes the country is on the wrong track, with sixty-two percent (62%) holding […] Read more »
2014 Midterm Election Preview: One Year Out
November 5 will mark one year until the 2014 midterm Congressional elections. Given the narrow margins of majorities in both houses of Congress, the elections will determine the direction of policymaking and the political environment for the remainder of the Obama presidency. … On November 5, the Center for Effective […] Read more »
Video: Nate Silver Makes ABC News Debut
This morning on “This Week,” FiveThirtyEight.com editor-in-chief and ABC News special contributor Nate Silver of ESPN made his ABC News debut, offering his thoughts on the elections taking place this week and the 2014 midterms. This Week, ABC News Breaking News Read more »