Joe Biden is the national front-runner in the Democratic presidential race. He is holding a steady lead in national polling, and his campaign boasts of the firewall he’s established among African American voters, who may be the key to victory in the Feb. 28 South Carolina primary and who have […] Read more »
The key demographics of the Democratic Party are fragmenting
The continuing uncertainty in the Democratic presidential primary has a hole the size of Barack Obama at its center. One reason the race remains so unsettled is that none of the contenders has reassembled the winning coalition of groups that Obama coalesced during his 2008 run to the nomination, a […] Read more »
How a Divided Left Is Losing the Battle on Abortion
… The Democratic Party has rejected the message that drove its politics since President Bill Clinton’s administration — that abortion should be “safe, legal and rare” — and embraced abortion rights with few stipulations. Every leading Democratic presidential candidate has fallen in line. But unlike support for same-sex marriage, which […] Read more »
Approval ratings and vote shares
A few weeks ago, Greg Koger examined Donald Trump’s approval rating by state and foresaw a difficult reelection effort for the President. Trump, Greg noted, had negative net approval in 30 states, and he didn’t have an easy path for even getting back to his slender victory margins in 2016. […] Read more »
How much sway do past Democratic nominees have? Unless you’re Barack Obama, not much.
Once they won the Democratic presidential nomination. But do their endorsements matter now? Unless your name is Barack Obama, not really. A national USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll asked likely Democratic voters whom among the party’s past presidential nominees would have the most influence on their vote today. Two-thirds named former president […] Read more »
Most Americans credit Trump for Baghdadi death, but raid doesn’t shake negative ratings of president’s leadership
A majority of Americans say President Trump deserves credit for the death of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, although this past weekend’s successful raid has failed to improve ratings for Trump’s strength as a leader, a Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. CONT. Scott Clement & Emily Guskin, Washington Post Read more »