As we begin the countdown to Election Day, where do we stand on the fundamentals, those structural factors that impact every race on the ballot? CONT. Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill Read more »
8 questions — and answers — about the midterm elections
The House is in GOP hands, and no one thinks the November midterm elections will change that. Republicans could lose governorships in presidential battleground states, and that is hardly insignificant. But House and gubernatorial contests pale in comparison to the question of who will control the Senate next January. … […] Read more »
On immigration, will Obama shape his legacy or the next election?
President Obama and his team spent hours last week deliberating over how and when to fulfill his promise to use his executive power to change the immigration system. They pored over legal precedent and policy data and debated political fallout. But none of their analysis could answer the question that […] Read more »
Obama’s ‘Strong Disapproval’ Double His ‘Strong Approval’
Americans are more than twice as likely to say they “strongly disapprove” (39%) of President Barack Obama’s job performance as they are to say they “strongly approve” (17%). The percentage of Americans who strongly disapprove of Obama has increased over time, while the percentage who strongly approve has dropped by […] Read more »
Why Are We Waiting For A Wave?
Despite dismal numbers for President Obama, a public deeply pessimistic about the direction of the country, and a Senate battleground based almost solely in red states, Republicans aren’t running up the score in Senate races, even in deep red states. Many are asking: why hasn’t the bottom dropped out on […] Read more »
North Carolina’s Political and Economic Environment in 2014
With a critical midterm U.S. Senate election approaching — one that could help decide which party controls the upper chamber — about as many North Carolinians lean or identify Democratic (42%) as they do Republican (41%). This effective draw between the two major parties demonstrates the extent to which political […] Read more »