Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg received the green light and made the Democratic debate stage on Wednesday night. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we assess Bloomberg’s debate performance and whether or not he punched through as a true force to be reckoned with this election season. […] Read more »
Why Nevada could surprise us
Finding a public poll of the Nevada caucuses has been like trying to find a needle in a haystack. … The data we do have shows Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders should be favored. Even when former Vice President Joe Biden was ahead in Nevada, it was rarely by more than […] Read more »
Latino Voters are Betting on Bernie
Latinos are politically energized in 2020 and their votes can propel a candidate into the winner’s circle. The stakes could not be higher for the Democratic presidential hopefuls as they head into the Nevada caucuses. The hyper-diversity of the Democratic Party’s electorate makes Nevada a litmus test for how candidates […] Read more »
We lack the data to predict Nevada’s outcome. Be wary of pundits’ gut instincts.
… In a normal election, this lack of concrete information wouldn’t be a problem: Nobody ever died because they didn’t see enough Nevada polling. But primaries aren’t normal elections. The trajectory of the race is often influenced by media-created “expectations” and narratives about “momentum.” And in Nevada, many political pros […] Read more »
Las Vegas Debate Doesn’t Change Sanders’ Status as Democratic Frontrunner
Democratic voters have told us for months that beating President Trump is the most important issue for them in choosing a nominee. The best way for a candidate to show that they are a winner is by winning. And, Bernie Sanders has been winning. … All eyes are on Nevada […] Read more »
Western Voters Demand Ambitious Agenda to Protect Public Lands
The tenth annual Colorado College State of the Rockies Project Conservation in the West Poll released today shows voters in the Mountain West are calling for an aggressive agenda to protect more public lands in the face of threats from climate change impacts and energy development. The poll, which surveyed […] Read more »