Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has been under siege for months as additional revelations and developments regarding her use of a private email account continue to drip out. Last week, the Crystal Ball explored what might happen should Clinton drop out of the Democratic primary or, as the rumors […] Read more »
Hispanic vote drives election strategy
… At some point, elections are not about politics or policy; they are about math. He or she who gets the most votes wins, and Hispanics arguably are the most potent rising bloc in both Nevada and American politics. All other things being equal – and they rarely are – […] Read more »
GOP Candidates’ Quest for the Highly Religious Protestant Vote
Mike Huckabee’s official entrance into the Republican race for president this week underscores the importance of a particular segment of the Republican population — highly religious Protestant voters. CONT. Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »
Harry Reid: Withstanding the Wave
From The Polling Report archives: Pundits and prognosticators, strategists and seers all said it couldn’t be done. Incumbents who garner positive ratings from fewer than four in ten voters and who post double-digit deficits in match-ups against opponents (in public polls) are not supposed to win—and they usually don’t. In […] Read more »
The States That Will Pick the President: The Southwest
Political change has been gestating longer in the new swing states of the Southwest than in the emerging battlegrounds of the Southeast. At the apex of their presidential strength, Republicans dominated the desert. From 1968 to 1988, the GOP presidential candidates swept Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico all six times. […] Read more »
Latino Decisions: What 2014 Taught Us
Results from Latino Decisions’ election eve poll are out. So are the media’s national exit polls. And, of course, in almost every state and district we now have the final election returns. What did we learn from the 2014 midterms? Herewith, LD’s bullet-pointed list of the 8 major takeaways from […] Read more »