After two contests in mostly white and rural Iowa and New Hampshire, the presidential primaries finally turn today to contests that are more representative of the national electorate. For the Democrats, Nevada is the first contest with a meaningful nonwhite and urban population. South Carolina offers an ideologically balanced contest […] Read more »
Who Will Win the Nominations? Lessons From Iowa and New Hampshire
… Despite their small populations, tiny numbers of national convention delegates and racially homogeneous electorates, the national parties continue to allow Iowa and New Hampshire to exert an outsized influence on the selection of the presidential nominees by kicking off the primary and caucus season. Because they go first and […] Read more »
Why Nevada Polls Are Bad
… In the lead-up to Iowa and New Hampshire’s contests, scores of polls were conducted. In Nevada, where Democrats will caucus on Saturday and Republicans on Tuesday, only five surveys have been published this year. So why, when American political junkies are used to binging on statistics, are there so […] Read more »
Democratic Candidates Face Different Kinds of Diversity in Nevada and South Carolina
After its start in two overwhelmingly white states, Iowa and New Hampshire, the presidential nominating contests move on to much more diverse territory in South Carolina and Nevada. The change is particularly important to Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. The racial and ethnic compositions of Democratic electorates changes from […] Read more »
What to Watch In Nevada and South Carolina This Weekend
Heading into the weekend, Donald Trump is the favorite to win the South Carolina Republican pirmary, while the Democratic caucus in Nevada looks neck-and-neck. But beyond the top-line numbers here are the other key storylines to watch for on Saturday night. CONT. Amy Walter, Cook Political Report Read more »
Clinton, Sanders in a dead heat for Nevada
Likely Democratic caucusgoers in Nevada are split almost evenly between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders ahead of Saturday’s caucuses, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll. … The Republican side seems set for less suspense when that party holds caucuses on Tuesday, February 23. The poll finds businessman Donald Trump holding […] Read more »